Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.043708 0.050949 0.059006 0.068636 0.079834 0.092446 0.107736
2025-11-02 0.033239 0.042916 0.054813 0.070515 0.090702 0.115802 0.149417
2025-11-09 0.025457 0.035578 0.049020 0.068177 0.094799 0.130529 0.182217
2025-11-16 0.020939 0.031239 0.045815 0.067946 0.100734 0.147595 0.219830
2025-11-23 0.017572 0.027736 0.042931 0.067297 0.105448 0.163014 0.256747
2025-11-30 0.015460 0.025658 0.041665 0.068615 0.112937 0.183117 0.303098
2025-12-07 0.013379 0.023242 0.039428 0.067912 0.116901 0.197954 0.342808
2025-12-14 0.011491 0.020825 0.036784 0.066043 0.118489 0.208854 0.377107
2025-12-21 0.009928 0.018716 0.034330 0.064074 0.119489 0.218651 0.410492
2025-12-28 0.009077 0.017760 0.033753 0.065334 0.126348 0.239483 0.466375
2026-01-04 0.008223 0.016665 0.032755 0.065632 0.131372 0.257451 0.519077
2026-01-11 0.007463 0.015640 0.031743 0.065732 0.135963 0.275048 0.573197
2026-01-18 0.006870 0.014887 0.031192 0.066741 0.142630 0.297794 0.641335
2026-01-25 0.006437 0.014408 0.031138 0.068777 0.151708 0.326605 0.726165
2026-02-01 0.005680 0.013120 0.029215 0.066543 0.151346 0.335627 0.769591
2026-02-08 0.005182 0.012335 0.028271 0.066327 0.155373 0.354531 0.837432
2026-02-15 0.004711 0.011546 0.027212 0.065697 0.158346 0.371420 0.902857
2026-02-22 0.004422 0.011148 0.026989 0.066984 0.165952 0.399759 0.999013
2026-03-01 0.004038 0.010463 0.026005 0.066297 0.168705 0.417045 1.070634
2026-03-08 0.003631 0.009663 0.024636 0.064472 0.168391 0.426889 1.124982
2026-03-15 0.003264 0.008915 0.023301 0.062550 0.167568 0.435350 1.176910
2026-03-22 0.003090 0.008657 0.023179 0.063781 0.175125 0.465948 1.291192
2026-03-29 0.002887 0.008291 0.022728 0.064071 0.180208 0.490760 1.393238